Journal of International Business and Economy

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Examining the Long Run Effects of Export, Import and FDI Inflows on the FDI Outflows from India: A Causality Analysis
Nandita Dasgupta
Volume 10, Number 1, Spring 2009, pp. 65-88

The objective of this paper is to examine the effects of international trade and investment related macro economic variables, namely, exports, imports and FDI inflows on the outflows of FDI from India over 1970 through 2005. Using time series data analysis, the empirical part of the paper finds unidirectional Granger Causality from export and import to FDI outflows but no such causality exists from FDI inflows to the corresponding outflows from India. Results confirm the assumption that lagged imports and exports are a driving force of current FDI outflows and that India.s capability of undertaking outbound FDI will be related to the country.s performance in its trade front.

Key Words: FDI outflows, macroeconomic push factors, FDI inflows, export,
import, Granger Causality

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